The Bills and Saints both have terrific defenses, so don’t be surprised if we see a seventh straight night under.Īlright, let’s get to the three games and make some picks. These primetime games always seem to play about as tired as our stomachs. Thanksgiving night unders are 10-4, going under by 5.8 points, and they’ve gone under in six straight. The one trend that could be worth a play here comes in the nightcap. Lions overs are 10-6, but that’s just 7-5 when they’re underdogs (like they are this year), so that’s not a very strong trend to rely on. There aren’t many clear trends on betting Thanksgiving totals. Since 2005, we’ve had exactly 23 overs and 23 unders.
Over/under trends aren’t as strong … except at night It’s early, but right now the Cowboys and Bills are getting very strong public support.ģ. Thanks, sportsbooks! When at least 57% of the spread bets are on a Thanksgiving favorite, that team is covering 77% of the time at 24-7 ATS. One more note: The public is winning on Thanksgiving. And the favorites trend isn’t just for the Detroit and Dallas games - Thanksgiving night favorites are 10-4 ATS, covering 71% of the time. That said, the Cowboys are the one big favorite this Thanksgiving, and favorites of seven or more points are 16-3 ATS on the holiday, covering 84% of the time. That means the Cowboys are the one team you shouldn’t necessarily back as Thanksgiving favorites.Įxcluding the Cowboys, all other Turkey Day favorites are 27-7 ATS, covering 79% of the time by 7.5 points. In fact, favorites have been so dominant that only three teams have a losing ATS record as favorites on Thanksgiving: The Giants (0-1), 49ers (0-1) and Cowboys (5-7).
Thanksgiving favorites are 32-14 ATS since 2005, covering 70% of the time by 4.7 points. While it hasn’t been profitable to blindly back the Lions and Cowboys, it has worked well to blindly back the favorites.
Fading the underdog Lions has covered 83% of the time, the strongest Turkey Day trend on the board.īetMGM Bet Any NFL Team at +50 (To Win $200!) AZ, NJ, PA, MI, WV, IN, IA, TN, VA, CO, DC, WYīetfred Sports Bet $25, Win $225 if the NFL Team You Bet Scores! New users in CO & IA only It appears that books are pricing in bettors’ tendency to bank on Detroit showing up for Thanksgiving. The Lions are 4-0 ATS as Thanksgiving favorites but 2-10 ATS as underdogs, with opponents winning all 12 matchups and covering by 9.8 points. Your instincts tell you this is the one game each year these teams always get up for, but books are pricing that in, because the two Thanksgiving mainstays have not been good covers: Detroit and Dallas are 6-10 against the spread (ATS) since 2005. All trends are since 2005.ģ NFL Thanksgiving Betting Trends 1. All six Thanksgiving Day teams lost on Sunday, so they’ll all be ready to put Week 11 behind them and go for that W.īefore we make picks for the three Turkey Day games using our “bet” or “lean” confidence ratings, let’s use our Action Labs tools to dig into some Thanksgiving trends.
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And, most importantly, find me a nice comfy spot on the couch with remote in hand for a tryptophan-induced nap and a nice full day of Thanksgiving football.ĭetroit and Dallas will host the day games as always, and New Orleans gets the nightcap this year. Thanksgiving week is here! So baste that turkey, stuff the bird real good, whip up those potatoes and save me a slice of pumpkin pie. This lady deserves a place in the Premier League," Wright told Sky Sports.How We’re Betting NFL Thanksgiving Games Read nowĮditor’s note: The rest of this story was written and published on Monday. "The Premier League is the biggest darts show in the world. However, Wright was full of praise for Sherrock after the match and admits he would love to see the darting trailblazer feature in the sport's biggest roadshow next year. The World Matchplay champion landed 14 maximums and converted two ton-plus finishes to continue his bid for a maiden Grand Slam crown, and he will take on Michael Smith in Sunday's semi-finals, after Bully Boy dumped out Michael van Gerwen earlier in the night. Sherrock performed magnificently, however, and was averaging over 100 for large periods of the contest, eventually settling for a 98.90 to Wright's 101.33, and the world No 2 was forced to produce some scintillating darts to progress. Second woman to win a match at the Grand Slamįirst female to hit a 170 checkout in a televised eventįirst female to make a major PDC ranking quarter-final Highest televised average by a female player (101.55)